Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 50.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.37%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Ajaccio	Draw	Lorient
22.5% ( 0.77)	26.8% ( 0.16)	50.71% ( -0.94)

Both teams to score 44.21% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.63% (

0.11)

59.37% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.24% (

0.08)

79.76% (

-0.08)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.85% (

0.85)

42.15% (

-0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.44% (

0.73)

78.57% (

-0.73)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.42% (

-0.37)

23.58% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.35% (

-0.54)

57.65% (

0.54)

Score Analysis

Ajaccio 22.5%

Lorient 50.71%

Draw 26.79%

Ajaccio	Draw	Lorient
1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.12% Total : 22.5%	1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.58% Total : 26.79%	0-1 @ 14.36% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 10.37% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 4.32% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.48% Total : 50.71%