AC Ajaccio
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 27
Mar 14, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade Francois Coty

Ajaccio
2 - 1
Red Star

Anziani (57', 81')
Barreto (38')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lemonnier (21')
Mbock (32'), Lemonnier (90+5')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Ajaccio and Red Star.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajaccio

All competitions
Last Game: Grenoble 2-2 Ajaccio
Friday, March 7 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Red Star

All competitions
Last Game: Red Star 2-0 Amiens
Friday, March 7 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 43.08%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Red Star had a probability of 28.28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Red Star win it was 0-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.

Result
AjaccioDrawRed Star
43.08% (0.105 0.1)28.65% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)28.28% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 43.97% (0.234 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.96% (0.295 0.3)62.04% (-0.293 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.23% (0.217 0.22)81.77% (-0.214 -0.21)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.41% (0.202 0.2)28.59% (-0.199 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.62% (0.25 0.25)64.39% (-0.247 -0.25)
Red Star Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.57% (0.155 0.16)38.43% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.82% (0.149 0.15)75.18% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 43.08%
    Red Star 28.27%
    Draw 28.63%
AjaccioDrawRed Star
1-0 @ 13.75% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.61% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.6% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.44% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 43.08%
1-1 @ 13.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.98% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.63%
0-1 @ 10.5% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.29% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 28.27%

How you voted: Ajaccio vs Red Star

Ajaccio
50.0%
Draw
20.0%
Red Star
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Red Star
1-0
Ajaccio
Renel (3')
Kouagba (90'), Badji (90+2')

Vidal (90'), Sollacaro (90+2'), Mabepa Ayessa Ondze (90+1')
Mar 8, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 28
Ajaccio
0-0
Red Star
Tramoni (43'), Avinel (74'), Choplin (83')
Tomas (25'), Kiki (39'), Lefebvre (42'), Camara (48')
Mar 7, 2019
12am
Ajaccio  
vs.
  Red Star
Oct 5, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 10
Red Star
2-0
Ajaccio
Teuma (28' pen.), Diallo (90')
Satli (6'), Derrien (75')

Avinel (24'), Lejeune (64')
Oct 4, 2018
1am
Red Star  
vs.
  Ajaccio