Ligue 2 | Gameweek 21
Feb 1, 2025 at 1pm UK
Stade de Paris
Lorient logo

Red Star
1 - 2
Lorient

Badji (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Junior Kroupi (24'), Ebong Avon (58')
Pagis (26')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Red Star and Lorient.

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Star

All competitions
Last Game: Paris FC 4-1 Red Star
Saturday, January 25 at 1pm in Ligue 2

Lorient

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Lorient 3-2 Clermont
Saturday, January 25 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 51.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Red Star had a probability of 23.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.78%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Red Star win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
Red StarDrawLorient
23.16% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)25.27% (-0.196 -0.2)51.57% (0.267 0.27)
Both teams to score 49.09% (0.49 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.64% (0.684 0.68)53.36% (-0.682 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.1% (0.577 0.58)74.9% (-0.575 -0.58)
Red Star Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.9% (0.317 0.32)38.09% (-0.31699999999999 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.14% (0.306 0.31)74.86% (-0.304 -0.3)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.3% (0.38800000000001 0.39)20.7% (-0.387 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.69% (0.607 0.61)53.31% (-0.605 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    Red Star 23.16%
    Lorient 51.57%
    Draw 25.27%
Red StarDrawLorient
1-0 @ 7.61% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 5.78% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.67% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.86% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.47% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 23.16%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.89% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 12.42% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-2 @ 9.78% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.44% (0.051 0.05)
0-3 @ 5.14% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.96% (0.086 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.061 0.06)
0-4 @ 2.02% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.95% (0.056 0.06)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 51.57%

Head to Head
Sep 13, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 4
Lorient
2-1
Red Star
Katseris (12'), Soumano (77' pen.)
Abergel (79'), Abergel (82')
Ifnaoui (47')
Benali (43'), Poirier (44'), Benali (45+17')
Mbock (88')
Feb 15, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 25
Lorient
2-1
Red Star
Hamel (11'), Lemoine (27')
Camara (83')
Derrien (43')
Feb 14, 2019
12am
Lorient  
vs.
  Red Star
Sep 14, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 7
Red Star
0-3
Lorient

Berthier (57'), Satli (75'), Mhirsi (90')
Hamel (33'), Claude Maurice (44'), Wissa (90')
Sep 13, 2018
1am
Red Star  
vs.
  Lorient
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!