Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 48.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Pau had a probability of 25.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Ajaccio	Draw	Pau
48.84% ( 0.43)	26.06% ( -0.01)	25.09% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 48.77% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.23% (

-0.27)

54.77% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.92% (

-0.23)

76.08% (

0.23)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.55% (

0.08)

22.45% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.01% (

0.12)

55.99% (

-0.12)

Pau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.89% (

-0.52)

37.11% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.1% (

-0.52)

73.9% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Ajaccio 48.84%

Pau 25.09%

Draw 26.05%

Ajaccio	Draw	Pau
1-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 48.84%	1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.74% Total : 25.09%