Ligue 2 | Gameweek 27
Mar 14, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade Francis Turcan

Martigues
2 - 2
Pau

Tlili (8', 85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Diawara (50'), Boutaib (54' pen.)
Kante (45+1'), Mboup (70'), Diawara (85'), Ngom (89'), Ngom (89')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Martigues and Pau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bastia 1-0 Martigues
Friday, March 7 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Pau 0-2 Troyes
Friday, March 7 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 47.05%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Martigues had a probability of 26.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Martigues win it was 1-0 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
MartiguesDrawPau
26.44% (-0.407 -0.41)26.51% (0.103 0.1)47.05% (0.305 0.31)
Both teams to score 48.62% (-0.60100000000001 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.47% (-0.626 -0.63)55.52% (0.627 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.3% (-0.514 -0.51)76.7% (0.51599999999999 0.52)
Martigues Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.63% (-0.678 -0.68)36.36% (0.68 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.85% (-0.693 -0.69)73.15% (0.694 0.69)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.4% (-0.126 -0.13)23.6% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.33% (-0.184 -0.18)57.67% (0.185 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Martigues 26.44%
    Pau 47.05%
    Draw 26.5%
MartiguesDrawPau
1-0 @ 8.68% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 6.34% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-0 @ 4.39% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.14% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.48% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 26.44%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.58% (0.206 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 12.39% (0.26 0.26)
1-2 @ 9.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.95% (0.149 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.36% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.31% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.56% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 47.05%

How you voted: Martigues vs Pau

Martigues
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
Pau
80.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 13, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 4
Pau
3-0
Martigues
Bobichon (33'), Boutaib (69'), Diawara (71')
Ruiz (77')

Morante (31'), Djaha (83')
Jul 29, 2024 11pm
Club Friendlies 3
Martigues
0-0
Pau