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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 32
Apr 26, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Caen

Lorient
4 - 0
Caen

Bamba (16'), Junior Kroupi (23'), Soumano (78', 90+3')
Laporte (12')
FT(HT: 2-0)

M'Vila (44')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Lorient and Caen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Last Game: Annecy 0-0 Lorient
Monday, April 21 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Caen

All competitions
Last Game: Caen 0-3 Martigues
Friday, April 18 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 68.8%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Caen had a probability of 12.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Caen win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawCaen
68.8% (0.122 0.12)18.38% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)12.82% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 51.05% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.48% (0.073999999999998 0.07)40.52% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.1% (0.075999999999993 0.08)62.9% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.28% (0.049000000000007 0.05)10.72% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.34% (0.11799999999999 0.12)34.65% (-0.122 -0.12)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.18% (-0.064 -0.06)42.82% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.86% (-0.055 -0.05)79.14% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 68.79%
    Caen 12.82%
    Draw 18.38%
LorientDrawCaen
2-0 @ 11.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 10.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.52% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.76% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.04% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.13% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.8% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 68.79%
1-1 @ 8.69% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.59% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 18.38%
0-1 @ 3.89% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.69% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 12.82%

Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 8
Caen
1-2
Lorient
Gomis (17')
Gaucho Debohi (38'), Lecoeuche (49')
Junior Kroupi (35'), Bamba (87')
Jan 13, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Lorient
2-1
Caen
Hamel (6'), Wissa (69')
Abergel (49'), Wissa (90')
Pi (16' pen.)
Vandermersch (72')
Weber (42')
Aug 5, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Caen
1-2
Lorient
Deminguet (91')
Pi (26'), Goncalves (26'), Armougom (32'), Gradit (65')
Wissa (22'), Hamel (33')
Saunier (47'), Hamel (93')
Oct 24, 2017 5.45pm
Third Round
Lorient
0-1
Caen
Kouakou (43')
Guilbert (28'), Peeters (38'), Kouakou (69'), Diomande (78')
Apr 2, 2017 4pm
Lorient
1-0
Caen
Moukandjo (29')
Ciani (55')
Bellugou (49')

Yahia (70')
Da Silva (81')