Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rodez AF win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Caen had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rodez AF win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.