Caen
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 29
Apr 5, 2025 at 1pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Metz logo

Caen
2 - 2
Metz

Grandsir (47'), Lebreton (68')
Lebreton (27'), Traore (50'), M'Vila (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Van Den Kerkhof (42'), Sabaly (61')
Sane (78')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Metz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caen

All competitions
Last Game: Paris FC 4-2 Caen
Monday, March 31 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Metz

All competitions
Last Game: Metz 2-1 Troyes
Friday, March 28 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Metz win with a probability of 50.2%. A draw has a probability of 25.8% and a win for Caen has a probability of 23.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.62%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Caen win it is 1-0 (8.02%).

Result
CaenDrawMetz
23.99% (0.518 0.52)25.81% (-0.153 -0.15)50.2% (-0.365 -0.37)
Both teams to score 48.43% (0.968 0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.32% (0.991 0.99)54.68% (-0.991 -0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24% (0.815 0.82)76% (-0.816 -0.82)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.94% (1.038 1.04)38.05% (-1.039 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.18% (0.987 0.99)74.82% (-0.988 -0.99)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.18% (0.255 0.25)21.82% (-0.255 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.96% (0.384 0.38)55.03% (-0.385 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Caen 23.99%
    Metz 50.2%
    Draw 25.81%
CaenDrawMetz
1-0 @ 8.02% (-0.081999999999999 -0.08)
2-1 @ 5.9% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 3.88% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 1.9% (0.1 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.45% (0.086 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.25% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 23.99%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.3% (-0.326 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.147 0.15)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 12.64% (-0.39 -0.39)
0-2 @ 9.62% (-0.226 -0.23)
1-2 @ 9.3% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.88% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.72% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.091 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.86% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.8% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 50.2%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 13
Metz
1-0
Caen
Hein (26')
Udol (18'), Traore (45+1'), Van Den Kerkhof (60')
Feb 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Metz
0-0
Caen
Aug 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Caen
1-0
Metz
Diani (38')
Vandermersch (90+2')

Cande (25'), Boloni (26'), Maiga (28'), Mikautadze (45+3'), Ndiaga Yade (86')
Apr 21, 2018 7pm
Metz
1-1
Caen
Da Silva (71' og.)
Diagne (81'), Roux (90')
Deminguet (73')
Djiku (90')
Feb 7, 2018 5.30pm
Round of 16
Metz
2-2
Caen
(Aggregate 2-2 | Caen win 3-2 on penalties)
Niane (85'), Roux (108')
Stavitski (51'), Diomande (114')
Deminguet (96')
Bazile (84')