Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 52.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Martigues had a probability of 22.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Martigues win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.