Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 34

May 18, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Weserstadion

Werder Bremen
4 - 1
VfL Bochum

Friedl (6'), Jung (78'), Stage (80'), Schmid (87')
Lynen (36')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Antwi-Adjej (85')
Wittek (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, May 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-5 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, May 12 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Werder Bremen 2-1 VfL Bochum

Bochum have only picked up 10 points from their 16 away league matches this season, and we are expecting Bremen to triumph on Saturday. However, the success is not expected to be enough to see them claim eighth, while Bochum will still fancy their chances of being safe even if they lose here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 47%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
Werder Bremen	Draw	VfL Bochum
47% ( 0.07)	23.04% ( -0.02)	29.95% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 62.49% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.51% (

0.04)

38.49% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.22% (

0.04)

60.78% (

-0.04)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.27% (

0.04)

16.73% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.36% (

0.07)

46.64% (

-0.07)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.04% (

-0.02)

24.95% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.4% (

-0.02)

59.59% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Werder Bremen 47%

VfL Bochum 29.95%

Draw 23.04%

Werder Bremen	Draw	VfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0) Other @ 4.31% Total : 47%	1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.43% 0-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.04%	1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.95%