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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 9
May 20, 2024 at 4pm UK
Marienlyst Stadion

Stromsgodset
2 - 0
Haugesund

Baertelsen (45+1' og.), Melkersen (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Manoharan (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Stromsgodset and FK Haugesund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fredrikstad 4-1 Stromsgodset
Thursday, May 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Haugesund 1-0 Kristiansund
Thursday, May 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Stromsgodset 0-1 FK Haugesund

Haugesund have dominated this fixture in recent years and have enjoyed their last four trips to Stromsgodset. The hosts also seem short of confidence having lost their last three matches. We think the visitors will edge this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stromsgodset win with a probability of 50.12%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stromsgodset win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stromsgodset would win this match.

Result
StromsgodsetDrawFK Haugesund
50.12% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.91% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 26.97% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 60.65% (-0.141 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.08% (-0.164 -0.16)39.92% (0.161 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.72% (-0.17 -0.17)62.28% (0.167 0.17)
Stromsgodset Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.87% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)16.12% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.45% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)45.54% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
FK Haugesund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.31% (-0.122 -0.12)27.68% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76% (-0.158 -0.16)63.24% (0.154 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Stromsgodset 50.12%
    FK Haugesund 26.97%
    Draw 22.91%
StromsgodsetDrawFK Haugesund
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.15% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.43% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.81% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.73% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.65% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.06% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 50.12%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.46% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.91%
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.73% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.68% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 2.88% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 26.97%

How you voted: Stromsgodset vs Haugesund

Stromsgodset
22.2%
Draw
22.2%
FK Haugesund
55.6%
9
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 24
Haugesund
1-0
Stromsgodset
Niyukuri (69')
Leite (43')
Jun 4, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 9
Stromsgodset
1-2
Haugesund
Vilsvik (71')
Valsvik (33'), Isnes (90')
Therkildsen (17'), Ibrahim Diarra (75')
Njie (21'), Martin Krygard (73')
Oct 29, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 28
Stromsgodset
1-2
Haugesund
Grogaard (45+3')
Reese (25'), Njie (49')
Apr 18, 2022 5pm
Dec 5, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 29
Stromsgodset
0-0
Haugesund
Stengel (88')
Velde (82'), Martin Krygard (88')
rhs 2.0
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Group A

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