La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 17

Dec 18, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Girona
3 - 0
Alaves

Dovbyk (23', 59' pen.), Portu (42')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Tenaglia (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Girona and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 2-4 Girona
Sunday, December 10 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Alaves

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Las Palmas
Saturday, December 9 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Alaves are capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Girona, but the league leaders are in such excellent form, so we are finding it difficult to back against them. The away side have found it difficult to score goals this season, so we are also expecting Girona to keep a clean sheet on Monday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 50.03%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
Girona	Draw	Alaves
50.03% ( -0.19)	26.06% ( -0.04)	23.9% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 47.63% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.33% (

0.34)

55.67% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.18% (

0.27)

76.82% (

-0.27)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.69% (

0.05)

22.31% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.23% (

0.08)

55.77% (

-0.08)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.31% (

0.41)

38.69% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.57% (

0.39)

75.43% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

Girona 50.02%

Alaves 23.9%

Draw 26.06%

Girona	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 12.94% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 50.02%	1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.06%	0-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.51% Total : 23.9%