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Fortuna Dusseldorf logo
2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Merkur Spiel-Arena

Dusseldorf
1 - 2
St Pauli

Tzolis (83')
Tzolis (30'), de Wijs (65')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hartel (16' pen., 26')
Vasilj (32'), Kemlein (51')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Fortuna Dusseldorf and St Pauli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.45%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Pauli in this match.

Result
Fortuna DusseldorfDrawSt Pauli
30.09% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 22.19% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 47.72% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 65.75% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.75% (0.078999999999994 0.08)34.25% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.85% (0.091000000000001 0.09)56.15% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23% (-0.012 -0.01)22.77% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.54% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)56.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.13% (0.070000000000007 0.07)14.87% (-0.072999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.79% (0.131 0.13)43.21% (-0.135 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Fortuna Dusseldorf 30.09%
    St Pauli 47.72%
    Draw 22.19%
Fortuna DusseldorfDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 7.07% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.01% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.71% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.83% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 30.09%
1-1 @ 9.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.73%
0-0 @ 3.39% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.19%
1-2 @ 9.1% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 5.78% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 4.28% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.91% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.75% (0.015 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.86% (0.01 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.05% (0.008 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.01% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 47.72%

Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 2
St Pauli
0-0
Dusseldorf
Metcalfe (52'), Hurzeler (53'), Sinani (90+5')
Mets (83')
Gavory (88')
May 13, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 32
St Pauli
0-0
Dusseldorf
Mets (39')
Hoffmann (53'), Ginczek (60'), Zimmermann (76'), Klarer (81')
Nov 5, 2022 12pm
May 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
St Pauli
2-0
Dusseldorf
Hartel (65'), Dzwigala (83')
Buchtmann (20'), Irvine (85')

Piotrowski (50'), Koutris (60')
Dec 11, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Dusseldorf
1-1
St Pauli
Hennings (68')
Nedelcu (23'), Piotrowski (71')
Hartel (47')
Smith (26')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Holstein Kiel32204862372564
2St Pauli32189557342363
3Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf32178768373159
4Hamburger SV32167960421855
5Karlsruher SCKarlsruher321410864461852
6Hannover321213756411549
7Greuther Furth32137124849-146
8SC PaderbornSC Paderborn32137125153-246
9Hertha Berlin32129116556945
10Elversberg32127134957-843
11Magdeburg32910134451-737
12Schalke 04Schalke31107144757-1037
13Nuremberg32107153960-2137
14KaiserslauternKaiserslautern32106165361-836
15Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig32105173648-1235
16Wehen WiesbadenWiesbaden3288163547-1232
17Hansa RostockHansa Rostock3294192853-2531
18VfL OsnabruckOsnabruck31510162861-3325


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