Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 32

Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park

Dundee
2 - 3
Motherwell

McGhee (36'), McCowan (70')
Bakayoko (74'), Mellon (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gent (79'), Bair (81'), Ebiye (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions

Last Game: St Johnstone 1-2 Dundee
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Motherwell

All competitions

Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 St Mirren
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Dundee 2-1 Motherwell

There is not much to split these two teams in the league table, and that in itself should lead to a close match as neither will want to slip up. However, it could be the end of the line as far as Motherwell's top-half hopes are concerned, as Dundee should have enough quality to take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Dundee	Draw	Motherwell
46.81% ( -0.17)	23.66% ( -0.15)	29.54% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 60% (

0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.35% (

0.87)

41.65% (

-0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.95% (

0.87)

64.05% (

-0.87)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.98% (

0.28)

18.03% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.09% (

0.47)

48.91% (

-0.46)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.19% (

0.65)

26.81% (

-0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.9% (

0.84)

62.1% (

-0.84)

Score Analysis

Dundee 46.81%

Motherwell 29.54%

Draw 23.65%

Dundee	Draw	Motherwell
2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.68% Total : 46.81%	1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.65%	1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.09% Total : 29.54%