Australian A-League | 2nd Leg

May 18, 2024 at 10.45am UK

Central Coast Stadium

Central Coast
0 - 0
Sydney FC

(Central Coast Mariners win 2-1 on aggregate)

Theoharous (25'), Jackson (26'), Roux (41'), Doka (90+6'), Farrell (90+7')

Caceres (45+3')
Caceres (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Sydney FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 1-2 Central Coast
Friday, May 10 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 1-2 Central Coast
Friday, May 10 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Central Coast Mariners 1-1 Sydney FC (Central Coast Mariners to win 3-2 on aggregate)

Having shown their superior quality in the first leg, the Mariners will expect to get the job done on Saturday. While we feel that Sydney will give another good account of themselves, potentially with a share of the spoils, we are backing the home side to do what they need to do. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 52.47%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Sydney FC
52.47% ( -1.54)	21.99% ( 0.62)	25.55% ( 0.92)

Both teams to score 62.55% (

-1.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.19% (

-2.09)

36.81% (

2.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.02% (

-2.3)

58.99% (

2.3)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.79% (

-1.19)

14.22% (

1.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.06% (

-2.38)

41.95% (

2.38)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.92% (

-0.44)

27.09% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.54% (

-0.58)

62.47% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 52.47%

Sydney FC 25.55%

Draw 21.99%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Sydney FC
2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.2) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.57% Total : 52.47%	1-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.38) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.99%	1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.44) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 25.55%