La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 32

Apr 20, 2024 at 1pm UK

Estadio de Balaidos

Celta Vigo
4 - 1
Las Palmas

Aspas (37', 76'), Swedberg (39'), Douvikas (71')
Strand Larsen (66')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Herzog (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Last Game: Betis 2-1 Celta Vigo
Friday, April 12 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Las Palmas

All competitions

Last Game: Las Palmas 0-2 Sevilla
Sunday, April 14 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Las Palmas

There has only been one draw in the last six La Liga meetings between these two sides, but we can see the points being shared this weekend. Celta have been poor at home this term, but Las Palmas are not particularly strong on their travels, and we are predicting a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 49.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 24.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
Celta Vigo	Draw	Las Palmas
49.5% ( 0.35)	25.78% ( -0.01)	24.72% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 49.24% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.02% (

-0.25)

53.97% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.58% (

-0.21)

75.42% (

0.2)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.16% (

0.05)

21.83% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.94% (

0.08)

55.05% (

-0.08)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.99% (

-0.44)

37% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.21% (

-0.44)

73.79% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

Celta Vigo 49.5%

Las Palmas 24.72%

Draw 25.78%

Celta Vigo	Draw	Las Palmas
1-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.5%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.78%	0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.75% Total : 24.72%