Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 23

Jan 26, 2025 at 4.30pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
1 - 1
West Ham

Ramsey (8')
Tielemans (45+5'), Rogers (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Palmieri (70')
Cresswell (45+5'), Soucek (63'), Alvarez (68')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Monaco 1-0 Aston Villa
Tuesday, January 21 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

West Ham United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: West Ham 0-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 61.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 17.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 1-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	West Ham United
61.94% ( -0.21)	20.14% ( 0.15)	17.91% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 57.6% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.87% (

-0.63)

38.12% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.6% (

-0.67)

60.39% (

0.67)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.16% (

-0.25)

11.83% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.9% (

-0.53)

37.09% (

0.53)

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.33% (

-0.31)

34.66% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.6% (

-0.33)

71.39% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 61.94%

West Ham United 17.91%

Draw 20.14%

Aston Villa	Draw	West Ham United
2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.65% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.12% Total : 61.94%	1-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.14%	1-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 17.91%