Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 31

May 9, 2024 at 7pm UK

Prince Hathloul Bin Abdul Aziz Sport City Stadium (Najran)

Al Okhdood
2 - 3
Al-Nassr

Al Habib (60'), Godwin (70')
Al Rubaie (23'), Zekri (72'), Collado (84')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Brozovic (7', 90+1'), Ronaldo (15')
Yahya (76'), Ronaldo (81')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Okhdood and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Okhdood

All competitions

Last Game: Al Hazem 0-0 Al Okhdood
Thursday, May 2 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Al-Nassr

All competitions

Last Game: Al-Nassr 6-0 Al Wahda
Saturday, May 4 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Al Okhdood 1-3 Al-Nassr

While six of Al Akhdoud's eight wins this season have come on their home patch, they are expected to struggle against this star-studded Al-Nassr side, who enter this match as massive favourites. The league title is likely to go to Al Hilal this weekend officially, but we feel the Knights of Najd will prolong matters for another couple of days by winning this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 57.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Al Okhdood had a probability of 21.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for an Al Okhdood win it was 2-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al Okhdood	Draw	Al-Nassr
21.15% ( 0.2)	21.71% ( -0.01)	57.14% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 57.82% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.5% (

0.33)

40.49% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.12% (

0.34)

62.87% (

-0.34)

Al Okhdood Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.22% (

0.38)

32.77% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.66% (

0.42)

69.33% (

-0.42)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.01% (

0.05)

13.99% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.5% (

0.11)

41.5% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Al Okhdood 21.15%

Al-Nassr 57.14%

Draw 21.7%

Al Okhdood	Draw	Al-Nassr
2-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.38% Total : 21.15%	1-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.7%	1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 6.49% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.82% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.19% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.86% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 57.14%