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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Walsall | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 38.16% ( | 26.18% ( | 35.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.01% ( | 50.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.15% ( | 72.85% ( |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.92% ( | 26.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.87% ( | 61.12% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.48% | 27.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.97% ( | 63.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Walsall | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% ( 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 2-0 @ 6.48% ( 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 4-0 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.37% Total : 38.16% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 9.26% ( 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0-2 @ 5.97% ( 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 1-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 35.66% |