Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.