League Two

League Two | Gameweek 46

May 3, 2025 at 3pm UK

Wham Stadium

Accrington
0 - 1
Chesterfield

FT(HT: 0-1)

Grigg (32')
McFadzean (78'), Pepple (85')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Chesterfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

Last Game: Walsall 0-1 Accrington
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Chesterfield

All competitions

Last Game: Chesterfield 4-1 Morecambe
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chesterfield in this match.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Chesterfield
27.82% ( 0.95)	26.34% ( -0.13)	45.84% ( -0.83)

Both teams to score 50.11% (

1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.92% (

1.02)

54.08% (

-1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.49% (

0.84)

75.51% (

-0.85)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.53% (

1.32)

34.46% (

-1.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.82% (

1.38)

71.18% (

-1.38)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.46% (

0.05)

23.54% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.41% (

0.07)

57.59% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 27.82%

Chesterfield 45.84%

Draw 26.34%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Chesterfield
1-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.21% Total : 27.82%	1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.34%	0-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.46) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.49% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.75% Total : 45.84%