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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 36.28%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 36.04% ( | 27.68% ( | 36.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.96% ( | 57.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.07% ( | 77.93% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.76% ( | 30.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.6% ( | 66.41% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.92% ( | 30.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.78% ( | 66.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% ( 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 2-0 @ 6.51% ( 3-1 @ 3.12% ( 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 4-1 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 36.04% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 2-2 @ 4.69% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0-2 @ 6.56% ( 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 1-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 36.28% |