League Two

League Two | Gameweek 44

Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK

Wham Stadium

Accrington
1 - 1
Carlisle

Aljofree (69')
Love (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Whelan (90+2')
Hayden (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Accrington
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Carlisle 3-2 Port Vale
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Carlisle United
33.89% ( -0.02)	27.16% ( 0.63)	38.96% ( -0.61)

Both teams to score 50.19% (

-2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.82% (

-2.53)

55.18% (

2.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.58% (

-2.12)

76.42% (

2.12)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.32% (

-1.27)

30.68% (

1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.07% (

-1.53)

66.93% (

1.53)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.4% (

-1.52)

27.6% (

1.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.87% (

-2)

63.13% (

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 33.88%

Carlisle United 38.96%

Draw 27.16%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 10% ( 0.62) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.19) Other @ 3.11% Total : 33.88%	1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.8) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.29) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.16%	0-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.6) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.22) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.96%