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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Gillingham |
| 33.55% | 27.54% | 38.91% |
| Both teams to score 48.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.28% | 56.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.33% | 77.67% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.32% | 31.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.9% | 68.1% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.64% | 28.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.9% | 64.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 7.48% 2-0 @ 5.94% 3-1 @ 2.87% 3-0 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.86% Total : 33.54% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 8.99% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 11.32% 1-2 @ 8.2% 0-2 @ 7.13% 1-3 @ 3.45% 0-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.8% Total : 38.9% |