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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Cambridge United

Burton Albion
2 - 1
Cambridge

Dadi Bodvarsson (48'), Willis (90+3')
McKiernan (27')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kachunga (84')
Kaikai (33')
Loft (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Birmingham
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Leyton Orient
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Burton Albion in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Burton Albion.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCambridge United
40.77% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)26.33% (0.0010000000000012 0)32.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 52.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)52.05% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.22% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)73.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)59.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.23%29.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.16%65.83%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 40.77%
    Cambridge United 32.89%
    Draw 26.33%
Burton AlbionDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 7.13%
3-1 @ 3.98%
3-0 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 40.77%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 7.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 9.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-2 @ 5.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 32.89%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 14
Cambridge
1-0
Burton Albion
Cousins (84')
Bennett (39'), Andrew (90+3')

Bennett (5'), Watt (23'), Bodin (34')
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Cambridge
0-0
Burton Albion
Harris (21'), Morrison (45+1'), Andrew (56'), Taylor (90+4'), Lankester (90+10')
Moon (20'), Seddon (64'), Oshilaja (69'), Carayol (74'), Bennett (87'), Crocombe (90+7')
Seddon (64')
Oct 9, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 12
Burton Albion
2-1
Cambridge
Walker (10'), Oshilaja (31')
Baah (53'), Bennett (90')
May 3, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Cambridge
4-3
Burton Albion
Smith (34', 53', 69'), O'Neil (79')
Digby (38'), Lankester (90+6')
Ahadme (1', 67'), Brayford (41')
Hamer (19'), Ahadme (27'), Brayford (51'), Borthwick-Jackson (90+7')
Smith (10')
rhs 2.0


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