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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Cambridge United

Burton Albion
2 - 1
Cambridge

Dadi Bodvarsson (48'), Willis (90+3')
McKiernan (27')
McKiernan (45+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kachunga (84')
Kaikai (33')
Loft (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Birmingham
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Leyton Orient
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 2-1 Cambridge United

With two away victories on their recent record, Cambridge will back themselves to continue to upset the odds in Staffordshire. However, we feel that Burton will shake off their narrow defeat to Birmingham and post the three points that could prove decisive in the battle to stay up. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Burton Albion in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Burton Albion.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCambridge United
40.77% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 26.33% (0.0010000000000012 0) 32.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 52.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)52.05% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.22% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)73.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)59.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.23%29.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.16%65.83%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 40.77%
    Cambridge United 32.89%
    Draw 26.33%
Burton AlbionDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 7.13%
3-1 @ 3.98%
3-0 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 40.77%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 7.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 9.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-2 @ 5.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 32.89%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 14
Cambridge
1-0
Burton Albion
Cousins (84')
Bennett (39'), Andrew (90+3')

Bennett (5'), Watt (23'), Bodin (34')
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Cambridge
0-0
Burton Albion
Harris (21'), Morrison (45+1'), Andrew (56'), Taylor (90+4'), Lankester (90+10')
Moon (20'), Seddon (64'), Oshilaja (69'), Carayol (74'), Bennett (87'), Crocombe (90+7')
Seddon (64')
Oct 9, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 12
Burton Albion
2-1
Cambridge
Walker (10'), Oshilaja (31')
Baah (53'), Bennett (90')
May 3, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Cambridge
4-3
Burton Albion
Smith (34', 53', 69'), O'Neil (79')
Digby (38'), Lankester (90+6')
Ahadme (1', 67'), Brayford (41')
Hamer (19'), Ahadme (27'), Brayford (51'), Borthwick-Jackson (90+7')
Smith (10')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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