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Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Leyton Orient

Cambridge
1 - 2
Leyton Orient

Stokes (19')
Brophy (70'), Loft (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kelman (67'), Donley (78')
Abdulai (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-2 Cambridge
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 4-3 Barnsley
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 1-3 Leyton Orient

Fighting fire with fire has been the way forward for Leyton Orient, unsurprising given the talent of Donley and Kelman - the division's top scorer - in the final third. Wellens's men have our vote to continue on that path against Cambridge, who for all of their dogged displays in recent weeks are highly vulnerable at home, but they will live to fight another day if Birmingham can take care of business against Burton and 21st-placed Bristol Rovers fail to beat Stevenage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawLeyton Orient
25.34% (-0.157 -0.16) 24.88% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 49.77% (0.17 0.17)
Both teams to score 52.52% (-0.106 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.04% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)49.95% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.06% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)71.94% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.72% (-0.16799999999999 -0.17)34.27% (0.167 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.02% (-0.179 -0.18)70.97% (0.17700000000001 0.18)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.91% (0.044000000000011 0.04)20.09% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.67% (0.073 0.07)52.32% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 25.34%
    Leyton Orient 49.77%
    Draw 24.88%
Cambridge UnitedDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 7.37% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.34% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3.95% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.26% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 25.34%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 6.88% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 11.05% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.5% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.87% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 5.08% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.75% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.04% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.9% (0.016 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 49.77%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Leyton Orient

Cambridge United
22.2%
Draw
11.1%
Leyton Orient
66.7%
18
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Leyton Orient
2-0
Cambridge
O'Neill (32'), Donley (70')
Brown (46'), Keeley (90+2')

Kachunga (32'), Andrew (75')
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Cambridge
0-2
Leyton Orient

Lankester (12')
Brown (54'), Agyei (57')
Beckles (25'), Archibald (39'), James (44'), Galbraith (68'), Forde (84')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Leyton Orient
2-0
Cambridge
Forde (29'), Archibald (57')
Galbraith (15'), Graham (32'), Archibald (82'), James (85')

Andrew (45'), Ahadme (48'), Simper (68'), Okenabirhie (86')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 43
Leyton Orient
2-4
Cambridge
Kemp (45+1'), Drysdale (73' og.)
Johnson (21'), Turley (49'), Akinola (78'), Vigouroux (90+6')
Ironside (19', 80'), Tracey (64'), Mullin (69' pen.)
Dec 26, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 20
Cambridge
2-1
Leyton Orient
Hoolahan (55'), Mullin (57')
Hannant (33'), May (84')
Johnson (23')
Happe (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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