League One
Gameweek
43
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fleylog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fbarlo.png)
-
Ethan Galbraith
51'
-
Randell Williams
63'
-
Charlie Kelman
68'
-
Sean Clare
72'
-
Omar Beckles
74'
-
Stephen Humphrys
11'
-
Stephen Humphrys
19'
-
Marc Roberts
31'
-
Adam Phillips
35'
-
Jonathan Bland
40'
-
Davis Keillor-Dunn
64'
Leyton Orient vs Barnsley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F13%2Fcharlie-kelman.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 24.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
Result
Leyton Orient
50.75%
▲
(+1.09)
Draw
24.51%
▲
(+0.13)
Barnsley
24.74%
▼
(-1.22)
Both Teams to Score:
53.09%
▼
(-1.60)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.08%
▼
(-1.55)
Under 2.5
48.92%
▲
(+1.54)
Over 3.5
28.99%
▼
(-1.42)
Under 3.5
71.01%
▲
(+1.42)
Over 4.5
13.98%
▼
(-0.98)
Under 4.5
86.02%
▲
(+0.98)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5
80.72%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 0.5
19.28%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 1.5
48.98%
▼
(-0.28)
Under 1.5
51.02%
▲
(+0.28)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5
65.77%
▼
(-1.84)
Under 0.5
34.23%
▲
(+1.84)
Over 1.5
29.08%
▼
(-2.02)
Under 1.5
70.92%
▲
(+2.02)
Score analysis
Leyton Orient
50.75%
Draw
24.51%
Barnsley
24.74%
Leyton Orient
1-0
@
10.86%
▲
(+0.62)
2-1 @ 9.59% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.47)
3-1 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.24)
3-2 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.16)
4-1 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.09)
4-2 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 50.75%
2-1 @ 9.59% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.47)
3-1 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.24)
3-2 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.16)
4-1 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.09)
4-2 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 50.75%
Draw
1-1
@
11.64%
▲
(+0.11)
0-0 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.41)
2-2 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.25)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.51%
0-0 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.41)
2-2 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.25)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.51%
Barnsley
0-1
@
7.08%
▲
(+0.10)
1-2 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.27)
0-2 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.15)
1-3 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.22)
2-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.19)
0-3 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 24.74%
1-2 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.27)
0-2 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.15)
1-3 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.22)
2-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.19)
0-3 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 24.74%
Head to Head
League One
Gameweek
21
-
Jamie Donley
6'
-
Jack Currie
20'
-
Omar Beckles
28'
-
Charlie Kelman
51'
-
Darren Pratley
84'
-
Oliver O'Neill
88'
-
Sonny Perkins
90'+4'
League One
Gameweek
32
-
Luca Connell
80'
-
Neill Collins
81'
-
Adam Phillips
88'
-
Luca Connell
88'
-
Josh Earl
90'+3'
-
Adam Phillips
90'+5'
-
Mael Durand de Gevigney
90'+6'
-
Ruel Sotiriou
10'
-
Ethan Galbraith
87'
-
Joe Pigott
90'+1'
-
Oliver O'Neill
90'+4'
League One
Gameweek
14
-
Joe Pigott
27'
-
Herbie Kane
69'
-
Sam Cosgrove
89'
-
Sam Cosgrove
90'+1'
League One
-
Josh Wright
56'
-
Conor Hourihane
27'
-
Milan Lalkovic
90'
League One
-
Conor Hourihane
13'
-
Devante Cole
38'
-
Kane Hemmings
58'
-
Ross Turnbull
73'
-
Dean Cox
66'
-
Jobi McAnuff
67'