League One

League One | Gameweek 43

Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK

Brisbane Road

Leyton Orient
4 - 3
Barnsley

Galbraith (51'), Kelman (68'), Clare (72'), Beckles (74')
Williams (63')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Humphrys (11', 19'), Keillor-Dunn (64')
Roberts (31'), Phillips (35'), Bland (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Leyton Orient and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leyton Orient

All competitions

Last Game: Crawley 1-3 Leyton Orient
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Barnsley

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 4-1 Bolton
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 24.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Leyton Orient	Draw	Barnsley
50.75% ( 1.08)	24.51% ( 0.13)	24.74% ( -1.21)

Both teams to score 53.09% (

-1.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.08% (

-1.54)

48.92% (

1.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.99% (

-1.42)

71.01% (

1.41)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.72% (

-0.17)

19.28% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.98% (

-0.28)

51.02% (

0.27)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.77% (

-1.84)

34.23% (

1.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.08% (

-2.02)

70.92% (

2.02)

Score Analysis

Leyton Orient 50.75%

Barnsley 24.74%

Draw 24.51%

Leyton Orient	Draw	Barnsley
1-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.62) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.46) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.04% Total : 50.75%	1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.51%	0-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.2% Total : 24.74%