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Leyton Orient
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Brisbane Road
Barnsley

Leyton Orient
4 - 3
Barnsley

Galbraith (51'), Kelman (68'), Clare (72'), Beckles (74')
Williams (63')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Humphrys (11', 19'), Keillor-Dunn (64')
Roberts (31'), Phillips (35'), Bland (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Leyton Orient and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 1-3 Leyton Orient
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 4-1 Bolton
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League One

We said: Leyton Orient 2-1 Barnsley

Barnsley are a lot better than they have shown in recent weeks, and the visitors will enter this match off the back of an excellent win, but we are expecting an in-form Orient side to navigate their way to all three points on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 24.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawBarnsley
50.75% (1.082 1.08) 24.51% (0.128 0.13) 24.74% (-1.212 -1.21)
Both teams to score 53.09% (-1.595 -1.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.08% (-1.543 -1.54)48.92% (1.54 1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.99% (-1.415 -1.42)71.01% (1.413 1.41)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.72% (-0.167 -0.17)19.28% (0.165 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.98% (-0.276 -0.28)51.02% (0.274 0.27)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.77% (-1.837 -1.84)34.23% (1.835 1.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.08% (-2.019 -2.02)70.92% (2.017 2.02)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 50.75%
    Barnsley 24.74%
    Draw 24.51%
Leyton OrientDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 10.86% (0.62 0.62)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.94% (0.464 0.46)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.91% (0.23 0.23)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.151 -0.15)
4-1 @ 2.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.085 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 50.75%
1-1 @ 11.64% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.407 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.247 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.51%
0-1 @ 7.08% (0.095999999999999 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.266 -0.27)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 24.74%

How you voted: Leyton Orient vs Barnsley

Leyton Orient
59.1%
Draw
4.5%
Barnsley
36.4%
22
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 21
Barnsley
0-4
Leyton Orient
Donley (6'), Beckles (28'), Kelman (51'), Perkins (90+4')
Currie (20'), Pratley (84'), O'Neill (88')
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Barnsley
2-1
Leyton Orient
Phillips (88', 90+5')
Connell (80'), Collins (81'), Earl (90+3'), Durand de Gevigney (90+6')
Connell (88')
Sotiriou (10')
Galbraith (87'), Pigott (90+1'), O'Neill (90+4')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Leyton Orient
1-1
Barnsley
Pigott (27' pen.)
Kane (69')
Cosgrove (89')
Cosgrove (90+1')
Mar 17, 2015 7.45pm
Dec 20, 2014 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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