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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 24.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
Result | ||
Leyton Orient | Draw | Barnsley |
50.75% (![]() | 24.51% (![]() | 24.74% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.09% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.08% (![]() | 48.92% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.99% (![]() | 71.01% (![]() |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.72% (![]() | 19.28% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.98% (![]() | 51.02% (![]() |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.77% (![]() | 34.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.08% (![]() | 70.92% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Leyton Orient | Draw | Barnsley |
1-0 @ 10.86% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.59% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.94% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.91% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 3.04% Total : 50.75% | 1-1 @ 11.64% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.6% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.51% | 0-1 @ 7.08% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.24% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.36% ( ![]() Other @ 2.2% Total : 24.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 84 | 31 | 53 | 111 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 67 | 34 | 33 | 92 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 87 |
4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 85 |
5 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 84 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 24 | 6 | 16 | 72 | 48 | 24 | 78 |
7 | Reading | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 57 | 11 | 75 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 68 |
9 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 72 | 60 | 12 | 67 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 19 | 7 | 20 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 64 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 61 |
12 | Barnsley | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 61 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 59 |
14 | Stevenage | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 57 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 56 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 56 |
17 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 60 | 73 | -13 | 54 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 68 | 81 | -13 | 51 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 48 | 66 | -18 | 51 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 47 |
R | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 57 | 83 | -26 | 46 |
R | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 44 | 76 | -32 | 43 |
R | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 45 | 73 | -28 | 38 |
R | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 33 |
> League One Full Table |