League One

League One | Gameweek 42

Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK

Oakwell Stadium

Barnsley
4 - 1
Bolton

Russell (15', 86'), Jalo (25', 71')
Keillor-Dunn (22'), Connell (66'), Russell (74')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Collins (74')
Dempsey (85'), Lolos (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 6-2 Barnsley
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Bolton 0-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
34.09% ( -0.08)	25.22% ( 0.02)	40.7% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 56.58% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53% (

-0.09)

47% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.75% (

-0.08)

69.25% (

0.08)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.44% (

-0.09)

26.56% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.23% (

-0.13)

61.77% (

0.12)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.05% (

-0.01)

22.95% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.27% (

-0.01)

56.73% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Barnsley 34.09%

Bolton Wanderers 40.7%

Draw 25.21%

Barnsley	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 34.09%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21%	0-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 40.7%