Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.87%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.