League One Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Finn Delap 84' yellowcard
  • Fabio Tavares 90'+4' goal
  • goal Alfons Sampsted 44'
  • goal Jay Stansfield 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Keshi Anderson 89'
  • yellowcard Christoph Klarer 90'+5'

Burton Albion vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2025 1.00pm
Exeter 0 - 0 Burton Albion
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Rumarn Burrell

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
Birmingham 0 - 0 Crawley
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Jay Stansfield

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.87%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result

Burton Albion 16.74% (+0.07)
Draw 21.21% (-0.01)
Birmingham City 62.04% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.46% (+0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.95% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 45.05% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 32.6% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 67.4% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 16.5% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 83.49% (-0.08)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 59.81% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 40.19% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 23.17% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 76.82% (-0.14)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 86.04% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 13.96% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 58.55% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 41.45% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Burton Albion 16.74%
Draw 21.21%
Birmingham City 62.03%
Burton Albion
1-0 @ 5.12% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 4.59% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 2.33% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.4% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.37% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 16.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.07%
0-0 @ 5.61% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.52% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 21.21%
Birmingham City
0-1 @ 11.04% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 10.87% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 9.91% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 7.14% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 6.51% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 3.51% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 3.2% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.97% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.46% (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.38% (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.26% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 62.03%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Jay Stansfield 26' goal
  • Max Crocombe 56' goal
  • yellowcard Udoka Godwin-Malife 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Max Crocombe 48'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 16, 2022 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Thomas Hamer 74' goal
  • goal George Hall 37'
  • goal Sam Cosgrove 87'
Championship
Apr 7, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Maikel Kieftenbeld 56' yellowcard
  • David Davis 58' yellowcard
  • Lukas Jutkiewicz 87' goal
  • goal Lloyd Dyer 48'
  • yellowcard Tom Naylor 50'
  • yellowcard Darren Bent 60'
FA Cup
Jan 6, 2018 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Maikel Kieftenbeld 37' yellowcard
  • Sam Gallagher 56' goal
  • Jonathan Grounds 67' yellowcard
  • David Davis 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard John Brayford 65'
  • yellowcard Ben Turner 75'
  • yellowcard Marvin Sordell 83'
Championship
Aug 18, 2017 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marvin Sordell 50' goal
  • Lloyd Dyer 66' goal
  • Stephen Bywater 90' yellowcard
  • goal Jacques Maghoma 29'
Championship
Apr 17, 2017 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Cheick Keita 49' yellowcard
  • Che Adams 66' yellowcard
  • goal Lloyd Dyer 36'
  • goal Lucas Akins 52'
  • yellowcard Jackson Irvine 65'