Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 76.39%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 8.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.92%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.88%), while for a Leganes win it was 2-1 (2.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Barcelona |
| 8.93% ( | 14.67% | 76.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.94% ( | 34.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.07% ( | 55.92% ( |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.45% ( | 45.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.63% ( | 81.36% ( |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.64% ( | 7.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.44% ( | 26.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Leganes | Draw | Barcelona |
| 2-1 @ 2.71% 1-0 @ 2.64% ( 2-0 @ 1.04% 3-2 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.63% Total : 8.93% | 1-1 @ 6.88% 2-2 @ 3.53% ( 0-0 @ 3.35% ( Other @ 0.92% Total : 14.67% | 0-2 @ 11.4% 0-3 @ 9.92% ( 1-2 @ 8.97% 0-1 @ 8.74% ( 1-3 @ 7.81% 0-4 @ 6.47% ( 1-4 @ 5.09% ( 0-5 @ 3.38% 2-3 @ 3.07% 1-5 @ 2.66% ( 2-4 @ 2% ( 0-6 @ 1.47% 1-6 @ 1.16% 2-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.2% Total : 76.38% |