Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 47.45%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Villarreal |
| 26.96% | 25.58% | 47.45% |
| Both teams to score 51.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.37% | 51.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.58% | 73.42% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.16% | 33.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.49% | 70.51% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.24% | 21.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.05% | 54.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 7.98% 2-1 @ 6.59% 2-0 @ 4.32% 3-1 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 1.82% 3-0 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.31% Total : 26.96% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 7.37% 2-2 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 11.23% 1-2 @ 9.28% 0-2 @ 8.56% 1-3 @ 4.72% 0-3 @ 4.35% 2-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 1.8% 0-4 @ 1.66% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.32% Total : 47.45% |