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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Jul 29, 2021 at 10.45pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
1 - 0
Rosario

Morales (36')
Manuel Insaurralde (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Avila (58'), Lo Celso (89')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Gimnasia and Rosario Central.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 0-1 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gimnasia in this match.

Result
GimnasiaDrawRosario Central
36.89%28.33%34.78%
Both teams to score 46.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.52%59.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.16%79.84%
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.07%30.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.78%67.22%
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.73%32.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.23%68.77%
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 36.89%
    Rosario Central 34.78%
    Draw 28.32%
GimnasiaDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 11.71%
2-1 @ 7.77%
2-0 @ 6.87%
3-1 @ 3.04%
3-0 @ 2.69%
3-2 @ 1.72%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 36.89%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 9.98%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.32%
0-1 @ 11.28%
1-2 @ 7.49%
0-2 @ 6.38%
1-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.78%

Head to Head
Feb 15, 2020 10.45pm
Gameweek 20
Rosario
1-0
Gimnasia
Ribas (12')
Rinaudo (75'), Pereyra (81'), Martinez (90')

Garcia (42'), Coronel (60'), Cuadra (63'), Melluso (78'), Aleman (86')
Sep 23, 2018 5.15pm
Gameweek 6
Gimnasia
1-1
Rosario
Silva (48' pen.)
Silva (27'), Rinaudo (35')
Gil (37')
Zampedri (39'), Ruben (63')
rhs 2.0
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