Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 51.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Union had a probability of 22.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Cruzeiro	Draw	Union
51.73% ( 0.28)	26.11% ( -0.07)	22.16% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 45.64% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.69% (

0.06)

57.31% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.86% (

0.05)

78.14% (

-0.05)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.75% (

0.15)

22.25% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.31% (

0.22)

55.68% (

-0.23)

Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.69% (

-0.18)

41.3% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.17% (

-0.16)

77.82% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Cruzeiro 51.72%

Union 22.16%

Draw 26.11%

Cruzeiro	Draw	Union
1-0 @ 13.81% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.86% Total : 51.72%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.11%	0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.19% Total : 22.16%