Copa Sudamericana
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Cristian Suarez
40'
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Cristian Suarez
40'
-
Junior Arias
86'
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Junior Arias
86'
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Nicolas Meza
90'+3'
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Nicolas Meza
90'+3'
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Junior Marabel
90'+5'
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Junior Marabel
90'+5'
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Carlos Eduardo
83'
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Carlos Eduardo
83'
Palestino vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Palestino had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.78%) and 1-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Palestino win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result
Palestino
27.39%
▲
(+0.87)
Draw
27.32%
▲
(+0.56)
Cruzeiro
45.29%
▼
(-1.43)
Both Teams to Score:
47%
▼
(-0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.05%
▼
(-1.55)
Under 2.5
57.95%
▲
(+1.54)
Over 3.5
21.35%
▼
(-1.23)
Under 3.5
78.65%
▲
(+1.23)
Over 4.5
9.12%
▼
(-0.74)
Under 4.5
90.87%
▲
(+0.74)
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5
63.1%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 0.5
36.9%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 1.5
26.31%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
73.69%
▲
(+0.13)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5
74.48%
▼
(-1.39)
Under 0.5
25.52%
▲
(+1.38)
Over 1.5
39.63%
▼
(-1.93)
Under 1.5
60.37%
▲
(+1.93)
Score analysis
Palestino
27.39%
Draw
27.32%
Cruzeiro
45.28%
Palestino
1-0
@
9.39%
▲
(+0.51)
2-1 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.24)
3-1 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 27.39%
2-1 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.24)
3-1 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 27.39%
Draw
1-1
@
12.82%
▲
(+0.21)
0-0 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.54)
2-2 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.32%
0-0 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.54)
2-2 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.32%
Cruzeiro
0-1
@
12.85%
▲
(+0.25)
0-2 @ 8.78% ▼ (-0.19)
1-2 @ 8.76% ▼ (-0.22)
0-3 @ 4% ▼ (-0.25)
1-3 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.27)
2-3 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.14)
0-4 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.15)
1-4 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 45.28%
0-2 @ 8.78% ▼ (-0.19)
1-2 @ 8.76% ▼ (-0.22)
0-3 @ 4% ▼ (-0.25)
1-3 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.27)
2-3 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.14)
0-4 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.15)
1-4 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 45.28%