Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

Apr 25, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Bicentenario Francisco Sanchez Rumoroso

Palestino
2 - 1
Cruzeiro

Suarez (40', 40'), Arias (86', 86')
Marabel (90+5'), Meza (90+3'), Marabel (90+5'), Meza (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Eduardo (83', 83')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Palestino and Cruzeiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palestino

Last Game: Palestino 2-0 Union
Wednesday, April 9 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Cruzeiro

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Bragantino 1-0 Cruzeiro
Monday, April 21 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Palestino had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.78%) and 1-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Palestino win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Palestino	Draw	Cruzeiro
27.39% ( 0.86)	27.32% ( 0.56)	45.29% ( -1.43)

Both teams to score 47% (

-0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.05% (

-1.54)

57.95% (

1.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.35% (

-1.23)

78.65% (

1.23)

Palestino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.1% (

-0.13)

36.9% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.31% (

-0.13)

73.69% (

0.12)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.48% (

-1.38)

25.52% (

1.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.63% (

-1.93)

60.37% (

1.92)

Score Analysis

Palestino 27.39%

Cruzeiro 45.28%

Draw 27.32%

Palestino	Draw	Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.51) 2-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.8% Total : 27.39%	1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.32%	0-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 8.76% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 4% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.19% Total : 45.28%