Copa Sudamericana
Apr 9, 2025 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna
  • Bryan Carrasco 12' goal
  • Fernando Meza 52' yellowcard
  • Bryan Carrasco 68' yellowcard
  • Junior Marabel 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Francisco Gerometta 9'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Ham 10'
  • redcard Ezequiel Ham 68'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Martinez 90'+5'

Palestino vs Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palestino

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 4, 2025 3.00am
Mushuc Runa 3 - 2 Palestino

Union

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 1, 2025 11.00pm
Union 1 - 0 Cruzeiro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 35.79%. A win for Union had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.23%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Union win was 0-1 (12.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palestino would win this match.

Result

Palestino 35.79% (-0.08)
Draw 29.79% (+0.05)
Union 34.42% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.68% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 35.54% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 64.46% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 16.49% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 83.51% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 6.4% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 93.6% (+0.05)

Palestino Goals

Over 0.5 65.79% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 34.21% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 29.1% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 70.9% (+0.13)

Union Goals

Over 0.5 64.87% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 35.13% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 28.11% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 71.88% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Palestino 35.78%
Draw 29.78%
Union 34.42%
Palestino
1-0 @ 12.89% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.23% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.92% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.59% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.47% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 35.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.48%
0-0 @ 12.01% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.78%
Union
0-1 @ 12.57% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 7.05% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.58% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.29% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 34.42%