Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 35.79%. A win for Union had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.23%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Union win was 0-1 (12.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palestino would win this match.