Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 9, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna

Palestino
2 - 0
Union

Carrasco (12' pen.), Marabel (90+6')
Meza (52'), Carrasco (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gerometta (9'), Ham (10'), Martinez (90+5')
Ham (68')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Palestino and Union.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palestino

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Mushuc Runa 3-2 Palestino
Friday, April 4 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Union

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Union 1-0 C. Cordoba
Sunday, April 6 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 35.79%. A win for Union had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.23%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Union win was 0-1 (12.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palestino would win this match.

Result
PalestinoDrawUnion
35.79% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)29.79% (0.041 0.04)34.42% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Both teams to score 42.68% (-0.11 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.54% (-0.134 -0.13)64.46% (0.13199999999999 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.49% (-0.096 -0.1)83.51% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.79% (-0.12 -0.12)34.21% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.1% (-0.131 -0.13)70.9% (0.129 0.13)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.87% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)35.13% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.11% (-0.052 -0.05)71.88% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Palestino 35.78%
    Union 34.42%
    Draw 29.78%
PalestinoDrawUnion
1-0 @ 12.89% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.23% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.59% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 35.78%
1-1 @ 13.48%
0-0 @ 12.01% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.78%
0-1 @ 12.57% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.05% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 34.42%