Copa Sudamericana
Cruzeiro
May 15, 2025 1.30am
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Palestino
  • William 43' yellowcard
  • William 43' yellowcard
  • Kaique Kenji Takamura Correa 50' yellowcard
  • Kaique Kenji Takamura Correa 50' yellowcard
  • Yannick Bolasie 69' goal
  • Yannick Bolasie 69' goal
  • Gabriel Barbosa 73' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Barbosa 73' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Barbosa 90' goal
  • Gabriel Barbosa 90' goal
  • goal Ariel Martinez 7'
  • goal Ariel Martinez 7'
  • yellowcard Joe Abrigo 49'
  • yellowcard Joe Abrigo 49'
  • yellowcard Dylan Zuniga 58'
  • yellowcard Dylan Zuniga 58'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Benitez 76'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Benitez 76'

Cruzeiro vs Palestino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 8, 2025 1.30am
Mushuc Runa 1 - 1 Cruzeiro

Palestino

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 7, 2025 11.00pm
Union 1 - 2 Palestino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 60.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Palestino had a probability of 17.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Palestino win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.

Result

Cruzeiro 60.38% ▼ (-0.31)
Draw 21.67% ▲ (+0.09)
Palestino 17.95% ▲ (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.39% ▲ (+0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.96% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 45.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 32.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 67.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 16.52% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 83.49% ▲ (+0.02)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 85.53% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 14.48% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 57.55% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 1.5 42.45% ▲ (+0.20)

Palestino Goals

Over 0.5 61.25% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 0.5 38.75% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 1.5 24.52% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 1.5 75.48% ▼ (-0.23)

Score analysis

Cruzeiro 60.37%
Draw 21.66%
Palestino 17.95%
Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 10.83% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 10.47% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.93% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47%
5-0 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 60.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.27% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 21.66%
Palestino
0-1 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 17.95%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Palestino
Apr 25, 2025 1.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Bicentenario Francisco Sanchez Rumoroso
Cruzeiro
  • Cristian Suarez 40' goal
  • Cristian Suarez 40' goal
  • Junior Arias 86' goal
  • Junior Arias 86' goal
  • Nicolas Meza 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Meza 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Junior Marabel 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Junior Marabel 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Carlos Eduardo 83'
  • goal Carlos Eduardo 83'

Form Data

Sport 0 - 4 Cruzeiro
Mushuc Runa 1 - 1 Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro 2 - 1 Flamengo
Cruzeiro 2 - 0 Vila Nova
Cruzeiro 1 - 0 Vasco
Palestino 2 - 1 Cruzeiro
Union 1 - 2 Palestino
Palestino 2 - 1 Cruzeiro
Palestino 2 - 0 Union
Mushuc Runa 3 - 2 Palestino
Catolica 1 - 1 Palestino
Medellin 4 - 0 Palestino