Copa do Brasil
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Lucas Romero
6'
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Lucas Romero
6'
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Kaio Jorge
34'
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Kaio Jorge
34'
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Kaio Jorge
37'
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Kaio Jorge
37'
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Igor Henrique Martins Machado
7'
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Igor Henrique Martins Machado
7'
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Gabriel Poveda
25'
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Gabriel Poveda
25'
Cruzeiro vs Vila Nova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 63.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Vila Nova had a probability of 14.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.09%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Vila Nova win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.
Result
Cruzeiro
63.47%
▼
(-0.17)
Draw
22.28%
▲
(+0.13)
Vila Nova
14.25%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
42.74%
▼
(-0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.21%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 2.5
53.79%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 3.5
24.74%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 3.5
75.26%
▲
(+0.35)
Over 4.5
11.19%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 4.5
88.81%
▲
(+0.22)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5
83.59%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 0.5
16.41%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 1.5
53.93%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 1.5
46.07%
▲
(+0.37)
Vila Nova Goals
Over 0.5
51.13%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 0.5
48.87%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 1.5
16.14%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 1.5
83.86%
▲
(+0.14)
Score analysis
Cruzeiro
63.46%
Draw
22.27%
Vila Nova
14.25%
Cruzeiro
1-0
@
14.49%
▲
(+0.15)
2-0 @ 13.09% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 7.89% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 63.46%
2-0 @ 13.09% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 7.89% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 63.46%
Draw
1-1
@
10.37%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 8.02% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 22.27%
0-0 @ 8.02% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 22.27%
Vila Nova
0-1
@
5.74%
▲
(+0.07)
1-2 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 14.25%
1-2 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 14.25%