Copa do Brasil | Second Round

Mar 14, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Estadio do Governo do Estado de Goias

Vila Nova
6 - 0
Rio Branco-VN

Poveda (9', 9'), Mota (64', 64'), Tiago (72', 72'), Torres (75', 75'), Lira Nogueira (80', 80'), Santos Silva (84', 84')
Prado Camargo (55'), Prado Camargo (55'), dos Anjos Mathiello (90+1'), dos Anjos Mathiello (90+1'), dos Anjos Mathiello (90+1'), dos Anjos Mathiello (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Carvalho dos Santos (12'), Carvalho dos Santos (12')
Carvalho dos Santos (24'), Carvalho dos Santos (24')

Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Second Round clash between Vila Nova and Rio Branco-VN.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vila Nova

Last Game: Inter de Limeira 0-0 Vila Nova (6-7 pen.)
Friday, February 28 at 12.30am in Copa do Brasil

Rio Branco-VN

Last Game: Rio Branco-VN 0-0 Amazonas (5-3 pen.)
Thursday, February 20 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vila Nova win with a probability of 61.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Rio Branco-VN had a probability of 14.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vila Nova win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.97%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.86%), while for a Rio Branco-VN win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vila Nova would win this match.

Result
Vila Nova	Draw	Rio Branco-VN
61.4% ( 0.02)	24.55% ( -0.04)	14.04% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 36.74% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.26% (

0.15)

61.73% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.46% (

0.11)

81.54% (

-0.11)

Vila Nova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.89% (

0.07)

20.11% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.64% (

0.1)

52.36% (

-0.11)

Rio Branco-VN Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.99% (

0.12)

54.01% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.72% (

0.07)

87.28% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Vila Nova 61.4%

Rio Branco-VN 14.04%

Draw 24.55%

Vila Nova	Draw	Rio Branco-VN
1-0 @ 17.42% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 13.97% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.47% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 61.4%	0-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.06) 1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 24.55%	0-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.06% ( 0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 14.04%