Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 8, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Municipal La Cocha

Mushuc Runa
1 - 1
Cruzeiro

Alfredo Orejuela Quinonez (54', 54')
Nicolas Davila Alarcon (26'), Nicolas Davila Alarcon (26'), Arturo Arce Mina (67'), Arturo Arce Mina (67'), Penilla (80'), Penilla (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Diaz (61', 61')
de Jesus Alves (38'), de Jesus Alves (38'), Rhikman Alves Pimentel (45+1'), Rhikman Alves Pimentel (45+1')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Mushuc Runa and Cruzeiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mushuc Runa

Last Game: Mushuc Runa 3-0 Union
Thursday, April 24 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Cruzeiro

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Cruzeiro 2-1 Flamengo
Sunday, May 4 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 46.98%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Mushuc Runa had a probability of 26.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.15%) and 1-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Mushuc Runa win it was 1-0 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Mushuc Runa	Draw	Cruzeiro
26.06% ( 2.21)	26.96% ( -0.28)	46.98% ( -1.93)

Both teams to score 47.05% (

2.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.59% (

2.41)

57.41% (

-2.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.78% (

1.88)

78.22% (

-1.88)

Mushuc Runa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.27% (

3.36)

37.73% (

-3.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.5% (

3.13)

74.5% (

-3.13)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.55% (

0.15)

24.45% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.11% (

0.22)

58.89% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Mushuc Runa 26.06%

Cruzeiro 46.98%

Draw 26.96%

Mushuc Runa	Draw	Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 8.99% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.57) 2-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.34) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.25) Other @ 1.67% Total : 26.06%	1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.88) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.42) Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.96%	0-1 @ 12.99% ( -1.18) 0-2 @ 9.15% ( -0.79) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.2) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.41% Total : 46.98%