Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 14, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
0 - 1
Mushuc Runa


Demian Fascendini (74'), Demian Fascendini (74')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Joshue Caicedo Lopez (45+1', 45+1')
Mina (43'), Mina (43'), Tapiero (53'), Tapiero (53'), Alfredo Orejuela Quinonez (63'), Alfredo Orejuela Quinonez (63'), Arturo Arce Mina (72'), Arturo Arce Mina (72'), Penilla (90+2'), Penilla (90+2')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Union and Mushuc Runa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Union 1-2 Palestino
Wednesday, May 7 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Mushuc Runa

All competitions
Last Game: Mushuc Runa 1-1 Cruzeiro
Thursday, May 8 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 60.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Mushuc Runa had a probability of 16.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Mushuc Runa win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
UnionDrawMushuc Runa
60.95% (-0.055 -0.05)22.77% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)16.28% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 45.74% (0.115 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.79% (0.094000000000001 0.09)52.21% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.08% (0.079999999999998 0.08)73.92% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.28% (0.015000000000001 0.02)16.72% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.37% (0.024000000000001 0.02)46.63% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Mushuc Runa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.93% (0.13 0.13)45.07% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.01% (0.103 0.1)80.99% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Union 60.94%
    Mushuc Runa 16.28%
    Draw 22.77%
UnionDrawMushuc Runa
1-0 @ 13.47% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 12.05% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.73% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.21% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.56% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 60.94%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.54% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.83% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 22.77%
0-1 @ 6.01%
1-2 @ 4.28% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.39% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 16.28%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2025 3am
Group Stage
Mushuc Runa
3-0
Union
Alfredo Orejuela Quinonez (3'), Joshue Caicedo Lopez (52'), Penilla (90+1')
Peralta (80')
Bentaberry (55')

Martinez (44'), Palacios (76')
rhs 2.0
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> Premier League Full Table


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