Copa do Brasil
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Tiago
19'
-
Guilherme Parede
27'
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Elias Lira Nogueira
65'
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Gabriel Poveda
71'
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William
27'
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Matheus Pereira
30'
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Carlos Eduardo
56'
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Carlos Eduardo
56'
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Carlos Eduardo
75'
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Jonathan de Jesus Alves
86'
Vila Nova vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Vila Nova had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.5%) and 1-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Vila Nova win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.
Result
Vila Nova
28.52%
▼
(-0.20)
Draw
27.9%
▼
(-0.11)
Cruzeiro
43.58%
▲
(+0.31)
Both Teams to Score:
46.08%
▲
(+0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5
40.55%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 2.5
59.45%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 3.5
20.18%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 3.5
79.82%
▼
(-0.23)
Over 4.5
8.44%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 4.5
91.56%
▼
(-0.14)
Vila Nova Goals
Over 0.5
63.2%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
36.8%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
26.41%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
73.59%
▼
(-0.01)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5
72.92%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 0.5
27.08%
▼
(-0.31)
Over 1.5
37.54%
▲
(+0.40)
Under 1.5
62.46%
▼
(-0.40)
Score analysis
Vila Nova
28.52%
Draw
27.89%
Cruzeiro
43.58%
Vila Nova
1-0
@
9.96%
▼
(-0.11)
2-1 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 28.52%
2-1 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 28.52%
Draw
1-1
@
13.01%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.97% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 4.25% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.89%
0-0 @ 9.97% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 4.25% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.89%
Cruzeiro
0-1
@
13.02%
▼
(-0.04)
0-2 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 43.58%
0-2 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 43.58%