Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.