Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 8, 2025 at 11pm UK

Estadio Tierra de Campeones

Deportes Iquique
3 - 2
Atletico Mineiro

Ramos (34', 53'), Orellana (60')
Ferreyra (15'), Jorquera (45+2'), Soto (90+4'), Nicolas Fernandez Castro (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Rubens (10'), Bernard (78')
Gomes (27'), Rubens (58')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Deportes Iquique and Atletico Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportes Iquique

Last Game: Deportes Iquique 2-2 Cienciano
Friday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Juventude 0-1 Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, May 6 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 55.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Deportes Iquique had a probability of 21.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Deportes Iquique win it was 1-0 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Deportes Iquique	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
21.02% ( -0.06)	23.41% ( -0.27)	55.57% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 51.98% (

0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.85% (

1.04)

48.15% (

-1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.69% (

0.95)

70.31% (

-0.95)

Deportes Iquique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.75% (

0.53)

37.25% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.97% (

0.52)

74.03% (

-0.52)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.83% (

0.5)

17.17% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.58% (

0.88)

47.42% (

-0.87)

Score Analysis

Deportes Iquique 21.02%

Atletico Mineiro 55.56%

Draw 23.4%

Deportes Iquique	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 21.02%	1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.4%	0-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 9.93% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 5.83% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.76% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 2.57% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 2.54% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.06) 0-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.87% Total : 55.56%