Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 25, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Tierra de Campeones

Deportes Iquique
2 - 2
Cienciano

Patricio Pino Briceno (29', 29'), Fuentes (65', 65')
Patricio Pino Briceno (42'), Patricio Pino Briceno (42'), Andres Parraguez Herrera (78'), Andres Parraguez Herrera (78'), Daniel Requena (90+7'), Daniel Requena (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Gentile (24', 24'), Garces (90+9', 90+9')
Cavero (81'), Cavero (81'), Torrejon (85'), Torrejon (85')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Deportes Iquique and Cienciano.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 4-0 Deportes Iquique
Friday, April 11 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Caracas 2-2 Cienciano
Tuesday, April 8 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Iquique win with a probability of 49.21%. A win for Cienciano had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Iquique win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Cienciano win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Deportes IquiqueDrawCienciano
49.21% (0.691 0.69)24.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.27% (-0.688 -0.69)
Both teams to score 54.54% (-0.594 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.3% (-0.504 -0.5)47.7% (0.504 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.1% (-0.467 -0.47)69.89% (0.467 0.47)
Deportes Iquique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57% (0.082999999999998 0.08)19.43% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.74% (0.133 0.13)51.26% (-0.134 -0.13)
Cienciano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.69% (-0.80800000000001 -0.81)32.3% (0.808 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.19% (-0.923 -0.92)68.81% (0.923 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Deportes Iquique 49.21%
    Cienciano 26.27%
    Draw 24.51%
Deportes IquiqueDrawCienciano
1-0 @ 10.28% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.42% (0.218 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.2% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.6% (0.131 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.059 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 49.21%
1-1 @ 11.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.28% (0.131 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.51%
0-1 @ 7.09% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.57% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.095 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 26.27%