Copa Sudamericana
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-
Blessing Essien Edet
28'
-
Blessing Essien Edet
28'
-
Tomas Cuello
48'
-
Tomas Cuello
48'
-
Lyanco
55'
-
Lyanco
55'
-
Rony
77'
-
Rony
77'
-
Vitor Hugo
90'+6'
-
Vitor Hugo
90'+6'
-
Blessing Essien Edet
45'+1'
-
Blessing Essien Edet
45'+1'
-
Jeriel De Santis
55'
-
Jeriel De Santis
55'
-
Jeriel De Santis
59'
-
Jeriel De Santis
59'
Atletico Mineiro vs Caracas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 76.51%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Caracas had a probability of 7.88%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.94%) and 3-0 (11.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a Caracas win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
Result
Atletico Mineiro
76.51%
▲
(+0.05)
Draw
15.61%
▼
(-0.02)
Caracas
7.88%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
41.8%
▼
(-0.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.41%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
42.59%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
35.01%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
64.99%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 4.5
18.27%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
81.72%
▲
(+0.04)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5
90.65%
Under 0.5
9.35%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
68.49%
Under 1.5
31.51%
Caracas Goals
Over 0.5
46.11%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
53.89%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
12.79%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
87.2%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
Atletico Mineiro
76.49%
Draw
15.61%
Caracas
7.88%
Atletico Mineiro
2-0
@
14.14%
▲
(+0.03)
1-0 @ 11.94% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 11.17% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.75% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 76.49%
1-0 @ 11.94% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 11.17% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.75% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 76.49%
Draw
1-1
@
7.38%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 15.61%
0-0 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 15.61%
Caracas
0-1
@
3.12%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 7.88%
1-2 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 7.88%
Head to Head
Copa Sudamericana
-
Jeriel De Santis
22'
-
Jeriel De Santis
22'
-
Jose Manuel Hernandez Chavez
39'
-
Jose Manuel Hernandez Chavez
39'
-
Jeriel De Santis
66'
-
Jeriel De Santis
66'
-
Lyanco
11'
-
Lyanco
11'
-
Vicente Rodriguez
24'
(OG)
-
Vicente Rodriguez
24'
(OG)
-
Tomas Cuello
62'
-
Tomas Cuello
62'
-
Rubens
84'
-
Rubens
84'
-
Vitor Hugo
88'
-
Vitor Hugo
88'
-
Patrick Roberto da Silva Campos
90'+2'
-
Patrick Roberto da Silva Campos
90'+2'
Copa Libertadores
-
Matias Zaracho
24'
-
Pedrinho
28'
-
Alisson Santana
40'
-
Carlos Eduardo Amaral Pereira de Castro
44'
-
Pedrinho
61'
-
Guilherme Arana
90'
-
Hulk
90'+3'
-
Hulk
90'+4'
-
Wuilker Farinez Aray
10'
Copa Libertadores
-
Danny Perez
54'
-
Bruno Fuchs
12'
-
Guilherme Arana
32'
-
Paulinho
44'
-
Paulinho
70'