Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 9, 2025 at 3am UK
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega

Cienciano
3 - 1
Caracas

La Mantia (1' og.), Gentile (15', 15'), Valoyes (67', 67'), Noronha (83', 83')
Arias (22'), Arias (22'), Estrada (45'), Estrada (45')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Manuel Hernandez Chavez (34', 34')
De Santis (3'), De Santis (3'), Jimenez (81'), Jimenez (81')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Cienciano and Caracas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cienciano

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Last Game: Deportes Iquique 2-2 Cienciano
Friday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Caracas

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Last Game: Caracas 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, April 24 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cienciano win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for Caracas had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cienciano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Caracas win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cienciano would win this match.

Result
CiencianoDrawCaracas
48.44% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)25.42% (0.024999999999999 0.02)26.14% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 51.58% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.46% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)51.54% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.66% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)73.33% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Cienciano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.71% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)21.29% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.77% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)54.23% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Caracas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.54% (0.016000000000005 0.02)34.46% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.82% (0.016000000000002 0.02)71.17% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cienciano 48.44%
    Caracas 26.14%
    Draw 25.42%
CiencianoDrawCaracas
1-0 @ 11.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.78% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 48.44%
1-1 @ 12.09% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.34% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.82% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 26.14%

Head to Head
Apr 8, 2025 11pm
Group Stage
Caracas
2-2
Cienciano
Fabrissio Reinoso Torin (8'), Alexander Rondon Maneiro (90+9')
Fabrissio Reinoso Torin (33'), Heraldez Sevillano (48'), La Mantia (49'), Mago (83'), Natividad Yendis Gomez (90+12'), Jimenez (90+11')
Covea (90')
Garces (41', 66')
Romagnoli (31'), Garces (34'), Amondarain (82'), Ortiz (90+11'), Luis Barrios Hernandez (90+9')