Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Oct 22, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Hernando Siles

Bolivar
2 - 3
Guarani

Riquelme (80'), Dominguez (89')
Quinteros Sierra (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fernandez (13'), Mana (90+2'), Florentin (90+6')
Florentin (90+4')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Bolivar and Club Guarani.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Club Guarani had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Club Guarani win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
BolivarDrawClub Guarani
42.96%25.79%31.26%
Both teams to score 53.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.71%50.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.76%72.24%
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.72%23.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.79%57.21%
Club Guarani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.02%29.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.91%66.09%
Score Analysis
    Bolivar 42.95%
    Club Guarani 31.26%
    Draw 25.78%
BolivarDrawClub Guarani
1-0 @ 10.17%
2-1 @ 8.93%
2-0 @ 7.41%
3-1 @ 4.34%
3-0 @ 3.6%
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.31%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 42.95%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 6.98%
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.41%
1-2 @ 7.38%
0-2 @ 5.06%
1-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.16%
0-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 31.26%

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