Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 22, 2021 at 3am UK
Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero

America
0 - 2
Cerro Porteno


Cabrera (77'), Arrieta (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morales (29'), Cardozo (90')
Cardozo (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between America de Cali and Cerro Porteno, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America de Cali win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an America de Cali win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
America de CaliDrawCerro Porteno
41.73%27.59%30.68%
Both teams to score 47.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.45%57.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.67%78.33%
America de Cali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82%27.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.41%62.59%
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.88%34.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.19%70.81%
Score Analysis
    America de Cali 41.73%
    Cerro Porteno 30.68%
    Draw 27.59%
America de CaliDrawCerro Porteno
1-0 @ 12.08%
2-1 @ 8.46%
2-0 @ 7.87%
3-1 @ 3.67%
3-0 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 1.98%
4-1 @ 1.2%
4-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 41.73%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.28%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 9.97%
1-2 @ 6.99%
0-2 @ 5.36%
1-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 30.68%

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