World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 15, 2023 at 4pm UK

Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecote

Congo DR
2 - 0
Mauritania

Wissa (62'), Bongonda (81')
Bakambu (84'), Inonga Baka (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Congo DR and Mauritania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo DR

All competitions

Last Game: Angola 0-0 Congo DR
Tuesday, October 17 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Zambia	0	0	0
2	Morocco	0	0	0
3	Congo DR	0	0	0
4	Tanzania	0	0	0

Mauritania

All competitions

Last Game: Mauritania 1-2 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Burkina Faso	0	0	0
2	Angola	0	0	0
3	Algeria	0	0	0
4	Mauritania	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 46.44%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.12%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Congo DR in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Congo DR.

Result
Congo DR	Draw	Mauritania
46.44% ( -0.34)	30.81% ( 0.46)	22.75% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 35.39% (

-1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

29.32% (

-1.2)

70.68% (

1.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

12.33% (

-0.77)

87.66% (

0.76)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.88% (

-0.82)

31.12% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.56% (

-0.96)

67.44% (

0.96)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.38% (

-0.86)

48.61% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.32% (

-0.63)

83.68% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Congo DR 46.43%

Mauritania 22.75%

Draw 30.8%

Congo DR	Draw	Mauritania
1-0 @ 17.66% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.91% Total : 46.43%	0-0 @ 15.12% ( 0.65) 1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.26% Total : 30.8%	0-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.27% Total : 22.75%