CONCACAF Nations League | League B

Oct 12, 2024 at 1am UK

Beausejour Stadium

Saint Martin
1 - 2
St Lucia

Raga Rigobert (30', 30')
Montantin (55'), Montantin (55')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Elva (76', 76', 90', 90')
Charles (15'), Charles (15'), Joseph (90+4'), Joseph (90+4')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Saint Martin and Saint Lucia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Martin

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Curacao 4-0 Saint Martin
Monday, September 9 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League C Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Anguilla	0	0	0
2	Bonaire	0	0	0
3	Saint Martin	0	0	0

Saint Lucia

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Grenada 1-2 St Lucia
Tuesday, September 10 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saint Kitts and Nevis	0	0	0
2	Saint Lucia	0	0	0
3	Guadeloupe	0	0	0
4	Sint Maarten	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Martin win with a probability of 53.73%. A win for Saint Lucia had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Martin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.59%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Saint Lucia win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Saint Martin	Draw	Saint Lucia
53.73% ( 0.14)	20.6% ( -0.3)	25.67% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 67.96% (

1.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.18% (

1.66)

29.82% (

-1.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.02% (

1.98)

50.98% (

-1.97)

Saint Martin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.54% (

0.59)

11.46% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.72% (

1.27)

36.28% (

-1.27)

Saint Lucia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.75% (

1.01)

23.24% (

-1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.84% (

1.45)

57.16% (

-1.44)

Score Analysis

Saint Martin 53.73%

Saint Lucia 25.67%

Draw 20.6%

Saint Martin	Draw	Saint Lucia
2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.29) 1-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.41) 3-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.08) 4-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.11) 5-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.07% Total : 53.73%	1-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.53% Total : 20.6%	1-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.93% Total : 25.67%